A feeling seems to be developing that Barack Obama is the 'inevitable' next President and simply needs to 'play it safe' to be inaugurated next January.
This assumption, whilst heart-warming to those who see in Obama America's best bet to tackle poverty, climate change and restore some of their dented prestige in the world, amounts to wishful thinking, for several key reasons.
The hidden racist vote
Remember when the Tories' poll numbers had to be lifted a few percentage points in polls because people were embarassed to tell Tories where their allegiances lay? A similar thing may be happenning now - white Americans, for fear of being seen as racist may be claiming they intend to vote Obama when they have no such intention. And pollsters do not appear to be taking this 'closet racist' factor into account.
Sunday, October 12, 2008
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